It is impossible to predict, how the coronavirus pandemic will end, but here is a first assessment including details which are omitted in mass media.
We know, that symptoms like dry cough and fever can appear anywhere between two and 14 days after infection and that there are individuals who carry the virus but show no symptoms. A German study suggests that people who test positive are most contagious before they’ve started exhibiting symptoms and during the first week that symptoms show up.
The epidemiological characteristics of the virus arise from high viral loads in the upper respiratory tract and the potential for persons infected with SARS-CoV-2 to shed and transmit the virus while asymptomatic. Test results indicate that aerosol and fomite transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is plausible, since the virus can remain viable and infectious in aerosols for hours and on surfaces up to days.
This means that the virus…
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